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Posts Tagged ‘health’

IMF’s “mea culpa”

In News on June 10, 2013 at 12:07 pm

Last week, the IMF admitted it had been wrong in its predictions about the consequences austerity would cause to Greece and that some of the reforms imposed as part of the loan agreement had been too harsh. (See for instance p.6 of this IMF paper, where the IMF reports mentions that “the macroeconomic assumptions at the initiation of the program proved optimistic” as well as this IMF paper)

So, let’s recap on what has happened in Greece in the past 4 years.

  • Greece is now in its 6th year of recession.
  • GDP has contracted 22% between 2008-2012, one of the deepest peacetime recessions in industrialised economies GreatDepression_Greece

 

 

 

  • Unemployment is now at 28% unemployment

 

 

 

  • Youth unemployment is over 60%
  • Greece’s debt to GDP was 129% at the end of 2009 and prior to the IMF loan agreement. At the end of 2012, it stood at 157%. The aim is to bring it down to 124% by 2020

    Public_Debt

  • Homelessness has sharply increased. Partly due to the important role family plays in Greece, Athens was unlike other European capitals where homelessness is visible in the streets. In 2009, Athens had about 2,000-3,000 homeless people. In 2012 the number was 40,000 (for more info, see this article).
  • National minimum wage has been decreased by 22% and 32% for the young. It was reduced from €780 gross a month at 25% and 32% as of 1.1.2012. It went down to €586 gross and €511 for workers 15-25 years old, irrespectively of education and skills.
  • Pensions of public servants have been slashed by 40%.
  • Increase of suicides. Until 2008 Greece had one of the lowest suicide rates in the world, with 2.8 suicides per 100 000 inhabitants. Statistics released in 2011 by the Greek ministry of health show a 40% rise in death by suicide between January-May compared to the same period in 2010 (for more info see this EP discussion and this article).
  • The national health budget has been cut by 40% since 2008. As of January 2014, hospitals will also collect a fee of 25€ for each inpatient care, for services which were previously provided for free (see Ministry of Health’s presentation for more)
  • Expenditure for mental health has been cut by 50%. As of December 2012, employees in the mental health sector had not been paid for 6 months.
  • Increase in HIV/Aids; The incidence of HIV/Aids among intravenous drug users in central Athens soared by 1,250% in the first 10 months of 2011 compared with the same period the previous year, according to the head of Médecins sans Frontières Greece
  • Rise of malaria: Malaria is becoming endemic in the south for the first time since the rule of the colonels, which ended in the 1970s, after mosquito-spraying programs were slashed in southern Greece
  • Infant mortality has risen by 40%.
  • Hospitals are forced to cancel operations (for more, watch this short film by Aris Chatzistefanou)

The above provide a snapshot of the situation in Greece, not to mention the rise of the neo-nazi Golden Dawn party, which has entered the Greek parliament and attacks and stabs immigrants, with the cooperation of the Hellenic police (see more here  and here).

I guess it’s ok, since the IMF said they are sorry about the mess, as they had to prevent contagion of the Greek sovereign debt crisis to the rest of the Eurozone. Although it was clear from the beginning that the IMF’s technocratic approach was indifferent to any social cost, it’s ok, they are having second thoughts, even now.

Of course, the Greek government at the time could have resisted signing the loan agreement proposed by the IMF and the EU. There are many Greek technocrats, university professors, economists and experts around the world, which could have been brought forward to make a counter-proposal [and they did, see for instance here, but they were dismissed without second thought]. The Greek government could then have negotiated a different solution which would have been less painful to the Greek people and society. And how knows, maybe that solution would have included a fairer allocation of the costs of lending to high-risk Greece, rather than blame it all on the “lazy Greeks that don’t pay taxes and retire at 50”.

But fortunately for foreign institutions like the IMF and governments, they have always found eager collaborators among the Greek elite, who have been more than willing to disregard the country’s and its peoples’ interest in favour of a “good boy” pat and a cookie from Europe and other foreign “partners”.

The social cost of debt repayment

In News on October 23, 2011 at 4:11 pm

On 21 October, finance ministers gave the green light for the latest payment (€8 billion) of Greece’s first financial package. This last tranche will be signed off by the International Monetary Fund, and the funds would reach Greece my mid-November. The announcement by the finance ministers followed the Greek parliament’s approval of a new package of austerity measures on 20 October. The Greek parliament’s vote took place amidst a two-day general strike in Greece, populous demonstrations and riots. However, this did not stop Greece’s political elite from passing measures, which in effect will deconstruct Greece’s welfare state and weaken its social policies.

Indicatively, the new austerity package measure includes a solidarity levy of between 1% and 5% of income, an increase in the property taxes, an increase in VAT taxes, lowering the tax-free threshold for income tax from €12,000 euros to €5000 euros (the original plan for €8,000 was abandoned), and cuts in the public sector wages by 20% (on tops of the 20% which they experienced last year). Furthermore, there health spending will be cut by €310 million in 2011 and a further €1.81 billion in 2012-2015, and education spending will be cut by closing or merging 1,976 schools. Social security will be cut by €1.09 billion in 2011, €1.28 billion in 2012, €1.03 billion on 2013, €1.01 billion in 2014 and €700 million in 2015. (Austerity plan in full)

Naturally, the government expressed its mere “hopes” to crack down tax evasion, despite the fact that the names of Greek businessmen, contractor companies, top newscasters and pop-singers who have been systematically evading taxes for decades are well-known among government and journalistic circles. Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos continued its scaremongering rhetoric, describing the government’s choice as between a “difficult situation and a catastrophe”. According to the BBC, he said “We have to explain to all these indignant people who see their lives changing that what the country is experiencing is not the worst stage of the crisis,” he said.

Well, he is right about that. The worst is yet to come. This latest wave of taxes and spending cuts will not only increase unemployment, dampen growth and depress the economy. The measures are purely anti-developmental and will have a direct effect on the social and humanitarian situation in Greece. The government is reducing the number of hospitals from 133 down to 83 and reducing the number of clinical units from 2000 down to 1700, without any serious impact assessment or research. More and more Greeks turn to NGOs for basic medical services. As the Lancet medical study concludes, “the picture of health in Greece is concerning. It reminds us that, in an effort to finance debts, ordinary people are paying the ultimate price”. Unfortunately, it is hard to find any glimpse of hope. The Papandreou government’s priority is primarily the satisfaction of the lenders’ demands, rather the interests of the Greek people.